抑制还是促进?数字经济赋能生产性服务业与 制造业融合发展研究

Inhibition or promotion? Research on the co-evolution mechanism of producer services and manufacturing industry under the condition of digital economy

摘要:

随着分工的细化，制造业企业逐渐把非核心环节外包，这一趋势不仅推动了生产性服务业的专业化发展，也为制造业升级带来契机。在数字经济背景下，数字技术逐渐成为产业融合发展的关键驱动力。基于此，在数字经济条件下，将生产性服务业与制造业的融合发展机制作为研究对象，构建Logistic演化模型，对2020～2023年我国各综合经济区的融合发展动态进行实证研究。研究发现：（1）在不同的综合经济区，生产性服务业和制造业融合呈现区域差异化发展特征。各综合经济区的演化作用系数均呈现增长态势，表明两业融合整体发展向好。但区域差异显著，具体表现为三种典型模式：波动型（东北、大西南经济区）、趋同型（南部沿海、北部沿海经济区）和趋异型（东部沿海、黄河中游经济区）。（2）数字经济条件下，各综合经济区的演化作用系数呈现相同趋势、差值减少和波动性趋势三种情形，但区域差异显著，呈现异质性效应（促进或抑制两种效应），即除南部沿海综合经济区外，数字经济对其他综合经济区的两业融合发展均产生了不同程度的阻碍效应。（3）通过强化数字技术基建与标准统一、完善数据治理体系、培养复合型人才和构建融合生态等措施，可有效缓解数字经济对两业融合的抑制作用，推动形成“以数促融、以融促新”的高质量发展格局。本文研究为制定差异化的区域数字经济发展政策提供了重要依据。

Abstract:

With the refinement of division of labor, manufacturing enterprises are gradually outsourcing non core processes. This trend not only promotes the specialized development of productive service industries, but also brings opportunities for the upgrading of the manufacturing industry. In the context of the digital economy, digital technology has gradually become a key driving force for industrial integration and development. Based on this, under the conditions of the digital economy, the integrated development mechanism of productive service industry and manufacturing industry is taken as the research object, and a logistic evolution model is constructed to empirically study the integrated development dynamics of various With the refinement of division of labor, manufacturing enterprises are gradually outsourcing non core processes. This trend not only promotes the specialized development of productive service industries, but also brings opportunities for the upgrading of the manufacturing industry. In the context of the digital economy, digital technology has gradually become a key driving force for industrial integration and development. Based on this, under the conditions of the digital economy, the integrated development mechanism of productive service industry and manufacturing industry is taken as the research object, and a logistic evolution model is constructed to empirically study the integrated development dynamics of various comprehensive economic zones in China from 2020 to 2023. Research has found that: (1) The integration of productive services and manufacturing industries in various comprehensive economic zones presents regional differentiated development characteristics. The evolution coefficient of each comprehensive economic zone shows an increasing trend, indicating that the overall development of the integration of the two industries is improving. However, there are significant regional differences, manifested in three typical patterns: fluctuation type (Northeast and Southwest Economic Zones), convergence type (Southern Coastal and Northern Coastal Economic Zones), and convergence type (Eastern Coastal and Yellow River Midstream Economic Zones). (2) Under the conditions of the digital economy, the evolution effect coefficients of various comprehensive economic zones exhibit three scenarios: identical trends, decreasing differences, and fluctuating trends. However, regional differences are significant, showing heterogeneous effects (promoting or inhibiting effects). That is, except for the southern coastal comprehensive economic zone, the digital economy has had varying degrees of hindering effects on the integrated development of the two industries in other comprehensive economic zones. (3) By strengthening digital technology infrastructure and standardization, improving the data governance system, cultivating compound talents, and building an integrated ecosystem, the inhibitory effect of the digital economy on the integration of the two industries can be effectively alleviated, promoting the formation of a high-quality development pattern of “promoting integration with data and promoting innovation through integration”. The research in this paper provides an important basis for formulating differentiated regional digital economy development policies.