直接创新政策、政府效能与新质生产力———基于政府研发补贴视角

Direct Innovation Policies, Government Effectiveness, and New Quality Productive Forces: From the Perspective of Government R&D Subsidies

摘要:

新质生产力的“新”是创新的“新”,创新政策是政府对于发展新质生产力的指引,而政府效能在创新政策落实中起着关键作用。本文以2011-2022年的省级面板数据为样本,首先构建指标体系测度各省份的新质生产力,并从理论上分析了创新政策、政府效能与新质生产力三者之间的关系,进而实证研究了创新政策、政府效能及其交互效应对新质生产力的影响。研究发现:创新政策、政府效能正向影响新质生产力,结论在稳健性检验后依旧成立；政府效能能够强化创新政策对新质生产力的促进作用；创新政策通过政府效能影响新质生产力；面板门槛模型结果显示,政府效能越强,创新政策对新质生产力的促进作用越强；异质性分析发现,东部地区和西部地区的创新政策对新质生产力的影响不显著。基于此,提出推动创新政策体系建设、着力提升政府效能和制定差异化区域创新政策的相关政策建议。

Abstract:

The "new" in new quality productivity refers to innovation, and innovation policies guide the government in developing this productivity. Government effectiveness plays a crucial role in implementing these policies. This paper uses provincial panel data from 2011 to 2022 to measure new quality productivity across provinces and theoretically analyze the relationships among innovation policies, government effectiveness, and new quality productivity. It further empirically studies their impacts and interactions. The findings indicate that both innovation policies and government effectiveness positively influence new quality productivity, with results remaining robust after testing. Government effectiveness enhances the promoting effect of innovation policies on new quality productivity; moreover, innovation policies affect new quality productivity through government effectiveness. The panel threshold model shows that stronger government effectiveness leads to a greater impact of innovation policies on new quality productivity. Heterogeneity analysis reveals that the effects of innovation policies on new quality productivity are not significant in eastern and western regions. Based on these insights, recommendations include advancing the construction of an innovative policy system, enhancing government efficiency, and formulating differentiated regional innovation strategies.