首发经济、创新要素配置与中国式消费现代化

Debut Economy, Allocation of Innovative Factor and Chinese-style Consumption Modernization

摘要:

首发经济作为激发消费活力的新引擎,是畅通国内大循环、释放内需潜力的动力引擎,能够快速提升城市商业能级与吸引力,对中国式消费现代化发展具有重要影响。 基于中国 283 个地级及以上城市 2015—2024 年面板数据,运用双向固定效应模型、中介效应模型,探究首发经济、创新要素配置与中国式消费现代化的关系。 结果显示:首发经济发展对中国式消费现代化的提升作用显著,经过调整被解释变量度量方式、剔除省会城市与直辖市样本数据、控制同期政策干扰等稳健性与内生性检验后,该结论仍然成立。 中介效应分析发现,首发经济可通过促进创新要素配置优化,推动中国式消费现代化发展。 异质性分析表明,在大规模城市与市场化水平较高城市中,首发经济对中国式消费现代化的驱动效果明显强于中小规模城市、市场化水平较低城市。 为此,提出多举措推进首发经济、优化创新要素配置、因地制宜培育首发经济的对策建议。 上述结论可为中国推进首发经济繁荣、培育中国式消费现代化新增长点提供理论基石与实践路径。

Abstract:

As a new engine to stimulate the vitality of consumption, the debut economy is the power engine to smooth domestic circulation and release the potential of domestic demand, which can quickly enhance the commercial level and attractiveness of cities and has an important impact on Chinese-style consumption modernization. Based on the panel data of 283 cities at the prefecture level and above in China from 2015 to 2024, the two-way fixed effect model and the intermediary effect model were used to examine the relationship between the debut economy, the allocation of innovative factors, and Chinese-style consumption modernization. The results show that the development of the debut economy plays a significant role in promoting the modernization of Chinese-style consumption. After adjusting the measurement method of the explained variables, excluding the sample data of provincial capital cities and municipalities directly under the central government, and controlling the policy interference in the same period, this conclusion still holds. The analysis of intermediary effect shows that the debut economy can promote the modernization of Chinese-style consumption by promoting the optimization of the allocation of innovative factors. Heterogeneity analysis shows that in large-scale cities and cities with a high marketization level, the debut economy has a stronger driving effect on Chinese-style consumption modernization, and it is obviously stronger than that of small and medium-sized cities and cities with a low marketization level. Therefore, countermeasures and suggestions were proposed to take multiple measures to promote the development of the debut economy, optimize the allocation of innovation factors, and cultivate the debut economy according to local conditions. The above conclusions can provide theoretical cornerstones and practical paths for China to promote the prosperity of the debut economy and cultivate new growth points of Chinese-style consumption modernization.